Europa League
Jul 30, 2026 7.00pm
Stadion Bâlgarska Armija

CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Sofia

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 5.00pm
Qarabag 0 - 0 CSKA Sofia

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 5.00pm
Qarabag 0 - 0 CSKA Sofia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for CSKA Sofia has a probability of 32.96% and a draw has a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win is 2-1 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.63%).

Result

CSKA Sofia 32.96% (-0.29)
Draw 23.29% (-0.09)
Qarabag FK 43.72% (+0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.83% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.53% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 19.47% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 60.92% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 39.08% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 39.66% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 60.34% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 25.58% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 74.42% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

CSKA Sofia 25.24% (-0.27)
Draw 42.93% (+0.04)
Qarabag FK 31.84% (+0.24)

Team To Score First

CSKA Sofia 44.51% (-0.21)
No Goal 5.33% (-0.09)
Qarabag FK 50.16% (+0.28)

Corners

Over 8 52.81% (+0.21)
Equal 8 11.17% (+0.04)
Under 8 36.02% (-0.25)
Over 9 41.84% (+0.15)
Equal 9 10.97% (+0.07)
Under 9 47.19% (-0.21)
Over 10.5 31.9% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 68.1% (-0.09)

CSKA Sofia Goals

Over 1.5 38.69% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 61.31% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 17.54% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 82.46% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 6.9% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.1% (+0.05)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 75.42% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 24.58% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 47.26% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 52.74% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 24.45% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 75.55% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 10.53% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 89.47% (-0.10)

Score analysis

CSKA Sofia 32.97%
Draw 23.28%
Qarabag FK 43.73%
CSKA Sofia
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.21% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.4% (-0.05)
Total : 32.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.9% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.92% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.5% (-0.02)
Total : 23.28%
Qarabag FK
1-2 @ 8.17% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.77% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.76% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.72% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.75% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.53% (+0.08)
Other @ 10.03% (+0.11)
Total : 43.73%

Head to Head

Europa League
Jul 23, 2026 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu
  • Marko Jankovic 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Godoy 35'
  • yellowcard Facundo Rodríguez 77'
Club Friendlies 3
Jun 27, 2026 4.00pm
Stadion Vasil Levski