UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadiumi i qytetit Suhareke

KF Ballkani
4 - 1
BATE

(KF Ballkani win 4-2 on aggregate)

Jashanica (31'), Tolaj (57', 66'), Thaci (89')
Trashi (72'), Dellova (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Laptev (10')
Gromyko (45+1'), Khadarkevich (56'), Antsilevski (79'), Islamovic (85')

Coverage of the Conference League Playoffs clash between KF Ballkani and BATE Borisov.

Form, Standings, Stats

Astana

Last Game: Ludogorets 5-1 Astana
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Europa League

Partizani Tirana

Last Game: Partizani Tirana 1-0 Valmiera
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KF Ballkani win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 17.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a KF Ballkani win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a BATE Borisov win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KF Ballkani would win this match.

Result
KF Ballkani	Draw	BATE Borisov
57.73% ( 10.28)	24.68% ( -1.81)	17.59% ( -8.48)

Both teams to score 42.99% (

-5.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.72% (

-1.59)

57.27% (

1.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.88% (

-1.29)

78.11% (

1.28)

KF Ballkani Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.22% (

3.7)

19.78% (

-3.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.17% (

5.67)

51.83% (

-5.67)

BATE Borisov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.59% (

-9.64)

46.4% (

9.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.97% (

-8.48)

82.03% (

8.47)

Score Analysis

KF Ballkani 57.72%

BATE Borisov 17.59%

Draw 24.68%

KF Ballkani	Draw	BATE Borisov
1-0 @ 14.87% ( 2.36) 2-0 @ 12.05% ( 2.99) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 2.13) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0.62) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 1.05) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.27) Other @ 3.46% Total : 57.72%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( -1.09) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.98) Other @ 0.53% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 7.05% ( -1.59) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( -1.88) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -1.62) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.97) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.6) Other @ 1.42% Total : 17.59%