Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizani Tirana win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partizani Tirana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Partizani Tirana	Draw	BATE Borisov
40.07% ( -2.4)	27.98% ( 0.47)	31.95% ( 1.93)

Both teams to score 47.27% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.35% (

-1.14)

58.64% (

1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.8% (

-0.89)

79.19% (

0.89)

Partizani Tirana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38% (

-1.86)

28.62% (

1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.57% (

-2.38)

64.43% (

2.38)

BATE Borisov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.22% (

0.81)

33.78% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.56% (

0.87)

70.44% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Partizani Tirana 40.06%

BATE Borisov 31.94%

Draw 27.98%

Partizani Tirana	Draw	BATE Borisov
1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.38) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.7% Total : 40.06%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.66) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.48) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.94%