UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 1, 2024 at 4pm UK

Armenia Football Academy grass

Ararat-Armenia
3 - 1
Zimbru

(Ararat-Armenia win 6-1 on aggregate)

Yenne (28'), Serobyan (68' pen.), Duarte (88')
Nondi (5'), Harutyunyan (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chigozirim Ohajunwa (62')
Alaribe (75'), Lucian (77')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Ararat-Armenia and Zimbru.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ararat-Armenia

Last Game: Zimbru 0-3 Ararat-Armenia
Thursday, July 25 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Zimbru

Last Game: Zimbru 0-3 Ararat-Armenia
Thursday, July 25 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Zimbru had a probability of 11.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Zimbru win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ararat-Armenia would win this match.

Result
Ararat-Armenia	Draw	Zimbru
69.16% ( 0.03)	19.37% ( -0.01)	11.47% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 43.55% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.73%

48.27% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.58% (

70.42% (

-0)

Ararat-Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.15% (

0.01)

12.85% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.79% (

0.02)

39.21% (

-0.02)

Zimbru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.97% (

-0.03)

50.02% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.32% (

-0.02)

84.67% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Ararat-Armenia 69.15%

Zimbru 11.47%

Draw 19.37%

Ararat-Armenia	Draw	Zimbru
2-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 13.18% 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.41% 4-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.95% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 69.15%	1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.43% 2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 19.37%	0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 11.47%