Club Friendlies 3
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Estrela Amadora vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result
Estrela Amadora
33.1%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
28.34%
▼
(-0.04)
Nacional
38.56%
▲
(+0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
52.27%
▲
(+0.13)
Goals
Over 1.5
71.87%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
28.13%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 2.5
47.54%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 2.5
52.46%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 3.5
27.02%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
72.98%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 4.5
14.71%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 4.5
85.29%
▼
(-0.09)
First Half Winner
Estrela Amadora
24.32%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
48.98%
▼
(-0.10)
Nacional
26.7%
▲
(+0.04)
Team To Score First
Estrela Amadora
45.12%
▲
(+0.15)
No Goal
9.32%
▼
(-0.08)
Nacional
45.56%
▼
(-0.08)
Corners
Over 8
58.73%
▼
(-0.15)
Equal 8
11.23%
Under 8
30.05%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 9
47.21%
▼
(-0.12)
Equal 9
11.52%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 9
41.27%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 10.5
36.35%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 10.5
63.65%
▲
(+0.09)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 1.5
33.13%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
66.87%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 2.5
11.95%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
88.05%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
3.74%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
96.26%
▼
(-0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
70.45%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
29.55%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
37.7%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
62.3%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 2.5
15.28%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
84.72%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
5.16%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
94.84%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Estrela Amadora
33.09%
Draw
28.33%
Nacional
38.57%
Estrela Amadora
1-0
@
9.11%
▼
(-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 33.09%
2-1 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 33.09%
Draw
1-1
@
12.49%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 28.33%
0-0 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 28.33%
Nacional
0-1
@
9.69%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 38.57%
1-2 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 38.57%
Head to Head
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
28
-
Jesús Ramírez
2'
-
Daniel Jr
48'
-
Daniel Jr
49'
-
Paulinho Bóia
71'
-
L. Vallier
77'
-
Filipe Soares
77'
-
Francisco Gonçalves
89'
-
Jovane Cabral
46'
-
Tom Moustier
46'
-
Jefferson Encada
74'
-
Sydney van Hooijdonk
74'
-
Jefferson Encada
75'
-
Leandro Antonetti
85'
Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
28
-
Matheus Dias
37'
-
Francisco Sacalumbo
12'
-
Francisco Sacalumbo
21'
-
Leo Cordeiro
72'
-
Jovane Cabral
81'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
11
-
Ferro
62'
-
Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira
77'
-
Kikas
86'
-
Luis Esteves
12'