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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.17%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 33.76% ( | 22.57% ( | 43.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.61% ( | 34.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.69% ( | 56.31% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( | 20.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.54% ( | 53.46% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% ( | 16.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.96% ( | 46.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 1-0 @ 5.35% ( 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.86% Total : 33.76% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 2-2 @ 6.87% ( 0-0 @ 3.41% ( 3-3 @ 2.17% ( Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 1-3 @ 5.28% ( 2-3 @ 4.14% ( 0-3 @ 3.36% ( 1-4 @ 2.39% 2-4 @ 1.87% ( 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 3-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.64% Total : 43.67% |