Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.17%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.