Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.