Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Nov 8, 2026 3.45pm
AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 8.00pm
Ajax 1 - 0 AZ
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Ro-Zangelo Daal

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 3.45pm
Groningen 2 - 3 Sparta
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Brynjólfur Willumsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60%. A draw has a probability of 21.53% and a win for Groningen has a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.42%) , while for a Groningen win it is 1-2 (4.91%).

Result

AZ Alkmaar 60% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 21.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Groningen 18.51% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.15% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.9% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 19.1% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 59.94% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 40.06% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 38.37% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 61.63% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 24.58% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 75.42% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 46.01%
Draw 34.99%
Groningen 19%

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 64.21% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 4.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Groningen 30.91% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 66.79% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 10.84%
Under 8 22.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 54.82%
Equal 9 11.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 33.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 42.85%
Under 10.5 57.15%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 59.52% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 40.48% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 33.23% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 66.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 15.5% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 84.5% ▼ (-0.05)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5 55.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 44.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 24.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 75.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.41%
Under 3.5 97.59%

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 60.01%
Draw 21.52%
Groningen 18.52%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.74%
1-0 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 15.2% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 60.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54%
0-0 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.52%
Groningen
1-2 @ 4.91%
0-1 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84%
1-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 18.52%

Head to Head

Eredivisie
Mar 22, 2026 3.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Euroborg
  • Marvin Peersman 36' yellowcard
  • Brynjólfur Willumsson 57' yellowcard
  • Thom van Bergen 58' goal
  • Tygo Land 76' goal
  • Wouter Prins 77' yellowcard
  • Tyrique Mercera 88' yellowcard
  • Rui Mendes 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elijah Dijkstra 46'
  • yellowcard Billy van Duijl 46'
  • yellowcard Mexx Meerdink 66'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sadiq 67'
  • yellowcard Rion Ichihara 82'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 10, 2025 1.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 11, 2025 3.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Sven Mijnans 9' goal
  • Ernest Poku 30' goal
  • Ruben van Bommel 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Mexx Meerdink 48' goal
  • yellowcard Hjalmar Ekdal 39'
  • yellowcard Wouter Prins 81'
KNVB Beker
Dec 18, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Sven Mijnans 4' goal
  • Ruben van Bommel 70' goal
  • Jayden Addai 84' goal
  • goal Leandro Bacuna 41'
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 11.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Euroborg
  • Leandro Bacuna 28' yellowcard
  • Romano Postema 34' yellowcard
  • Finn Stam 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wouter Goes 23'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jesper Karlsson 4' goal