Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Nov 1, 2026 3.45pm
Euroborg

Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 1.30pm
Nijmegen 2 - 2 Groningen
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Brynjólfur Willumsson

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 3.45pm
Sparta 1 - 2 Ajax
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Milan Zonneveld

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Groningen win with a probability of 51.75%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam has a probability of 25.5% and a draw has a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win is 1-2 (6.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.79%).

Result

Groningen 51.75% ▼ (-0.23)
Draw 22.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Sparta Rotterdam 25.5% ▲ (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.91% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.47% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 17.53% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 62.29% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 37.71% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 40.03% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 59.97% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 24.78% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 75.22% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Groningen 41.4% ▲ (+0.26)
Draw 36.14% ▼ (-0.22)
Sparta Rotterdam 22.46% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Groningen 59.43% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 4.3% ▼ (-0.05)
Sparta Rotterdam 36.27% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 70.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 9.58%
Under 8 19.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 59.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 10.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 29.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 48.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 51.42% ▼ (-0.02)

Groningen Goals

Over 1.5 55.04% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 44.96% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 28.77% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 71.23% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 12.57% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 87.43% ▲ (+0.06)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5 63.35% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 0.5 36.65% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 1.5 32.93% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 1.5 67.07% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 12.61% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 87.39% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 4.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.87% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Groningen 51.75%
Draw 22.75%
Sparta Rotterdam 25.49%
Groningen
2-1 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 12.34% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 51.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 22.75%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-2 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 25.49%

Head to Head

Eredivisie
Jan 31, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Shunsuke Mito 55' goal
  • Alwande Roaldsoy 81' yellowcard
  • Julian Baas 81' yellowcard
  • A. Roaldsøy 81' yellowcard
  • Shurandy Sambo 82' yellowcard
  • Mike Kleijn 88' yellowcard
  • Shunsuke Mito 90' goal
  • Mike Kleijn 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tyrique Mercera 62'
  • yellowcard Wouter Prins 62'
  • yellowcard Oskar Zawada 62'
  • yellowcard Nils Eggens 86'
  • yellowcard Mark Hoekstra 86'
KNVB Beker
Oct 30, 2025 7.00pm
5
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 19, 2025 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 2, 2025 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Tobias Lauritsen 60' goal
  • yellowcard Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson 56'
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Euroborg
  • Romano Postema 31' goal
  • Marvin Peersman 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pelle Clement 30'
  • yellowcard Metinho 63'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Jonathan de Guzman 25'
  • goal Koki Saito 58'
  • goal Arno Verschueren 75'
  • goal Tobias Lauritsen 79'
  • goal Vito van Crooij 89'