Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Oct 25, 2026 1.30pm
Goffertstadion

NEC vs Groningen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 7.00pm
Nijmegen 2 - 2 Sittard
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Adam Tahaui

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 3.45pm
Groningen 2 - 5 Ajax
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Brynjólfur Willumsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NEC win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for Groningen has a probability of 25.26% and a draw has a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Groningen win is 1-2 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.12%).

Result

NEC 51.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 22.97% ▲ (+0.03)
Groningen 25.26% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.48% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 18.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 60.55% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 39.45% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 37.49% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 62.51% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 23.44% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 76.56% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

NEC 40.68%
Draw 37.9%
Groningen 21.43%

Team To Score First

NEC 60.79% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 4.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Groningen 34.28% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.81%
Equal 8 10.48%
Under 8 27.71%
Over 9 50.79%
Equal 9 11.02%
Under 9 38.19%
Over 10.5 40.12%
Under 10.5 59.88%

NEC Goals

Over 1.5 53.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 46.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 28.15% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 71.85% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 12.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 87.69% ▲ (+0.05)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5 62.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 37.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 31.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.7%
Under 3.5 96.3%

Score analysis

NEC 51.77%
Draw 22.97%
Groningen 25.26%
NEC
2-1 @ 9.74%
1-0 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 12.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 51.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.12% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.97%
Groningen
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 25.26%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 3.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Euroborg
  • Marco Rente 45'+3' goal
  • Tygo Land 51' goal
  • Travis Hernes 69' yellowcard
  • Wouter Prins 69' yellowcard
  • Ryan Metu 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danilo 60'
  • yellowcard Başar Önal 60'
  • yellowcard Brayann Pereira 60'
  • yellowcard Youssef El Kachati 71'
  • yellowcard Koki Ogawa 71'
  • goal Darko Nejasmic 76'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nov 9, 2025 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 8, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium
  • Wouter Prins 2' goal
  • Thom van Bergen 31' goal
  • Tika de Jonge 53' yellowcard
  • Thijmen Blokzijl 58' redcard
  • goal Vito van Crooij 66'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2024 1.30pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Koki Ogawa 6' goal
  • Koki Ogawa 26' goal
  • Sontje Hansen 32' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 52' goal
  • Calvin Verdonk 69' yellowcard
  • Sami Ouaissa 74' goal
  • Thomas Ouwejan 86' goal
  • yellowcard Marvin Peersman 5'
  • yellowcard Jorg Schreuders 36'
  • yellowcard Luciano Valente 43'
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Apr 25, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Jordy Bruijn 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2022 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Oussama Tannane 63' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Cissoko 88' goal
  • Elayis Tavsan 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Suslov 58'
  • yellowcard Neraysho Kasanwirjo 63'
  • goal Laros Duarte 75'