Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 18, 2026 7.00pm
Goffertstadion

NEC vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 8.00pm
Ajax 1 - 1 Nijmegen
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Adam Tahaui

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 7.00pm
Sittard 1 - 1 FC Twente
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Lequincio Zeefuik

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NEC win with a probability of 53.65%. A win for Fortuna Sittard has a probability of 24.22% and a draw has a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win is 1-2 (6.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.69%).

Result

NEC 53.65% ▼ (-1.61)
Draw 22.1% ▲ (+0.75)
Fortuna Sittard 24.22% ▲ (+0.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.28% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.18% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 1.5 16.82% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 2.5 63.3% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 36.7% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 40.8% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 59.2% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 25.98% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 4.5 74.02% ▲ (+0.50)

First Half Winner

NEC 46.19% ▼ (-1.90)
Draw 36.62% ▲ (+2.45)
Fortuna Sittard 17.19% ▼ (-0.56)

Team To Score First

NEC 62.45% ▼ (-2.21)
No Goal 4.28% ▲ (+0.25)
Fortuna Sittard 33.27% ▲ (+1.97)

Corners

Over 8 67.1% ▼ (-1.64)
Equal 8 10.55% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 8 22.35% ▲ (+1.38)
Over 9 55.47% ▼ (-1.78)
Equal 9 11.63% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 9 32.9% ▲ (+1.63)
Over 10.5 43.8% ▼ (-1.75)
Under 10.5 56.2% ▲ (+1.75)

NEC Goals

Over 1.5 56.67% ▼ (-1.02)
Under 1.5 43.33% ▲ (+1.02)
Over 2.5 31.29% ▼ (-1.15)
Under 2.5 68.71% ▲ (+1.15)
Over 3.5 14.19% ▼ (-1.06)
Under 3.5 85.81% ▲ (+1.05)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5 61.87% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 0.5 38.13% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 1.5 31.68% ▲ (+1.31)
Under 1.5 68.32% ▼ (-1.32)
Over 2.5 12.06% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 2.5 87.94% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 3.5 3.77% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 96.23% ▼ (-0.25)

Score analysis

NEC 53.65%
Draw 22.09%
Fortuna Sittard 24.22%
NEC
2-1 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.11)
1-0 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 13.85% ▼ (-1.07)
Total : 53.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.34)
0-0 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.09%
Fortuna Sittard
1-2 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.21)
0-1 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.25)
Total : 24.22%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Feb 28, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Goffertstadion
  • Tjaronn Chery 19' goal
  • Noé Lebreton 67' yellowcard
  • Virgil Misidjan 67' yellowcard
  • Bryan Linssen 67' yellowcard
  • Virgil Misidjan 68' yellowcard
  • Bryan Linssen 68' yellowcard
  • Noé Lebreton 68' yellowcard
  • Isak Hansen-Aarøen 79' yellowcard
  • Willum Thór Willumsson 79' yellowcard
  • Bryan Linssen 90'+3' goal
  • goal Iván Márquez 27'
  • goal Mohamed Ihattaren 59'
  • goal Justin Hubner 65'
  • yellowcard Neraysho Kasanwirjo 72'
  • yellowcard Yassin Oukili 76'
  • yellowcard Shawn Adewoye 76'
  • yellowcard Yassin Oukili 77'
  • yellowcard Paul Gladon 85'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Peterson 85'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 31, 2025 11.15am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Jan 19, 2025 3.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Sami Ouaissa 34' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 69' goal
  • Calvin Verdonk 71' goal
  • Thomas Ouwejan 82' goal
  • yellowcard Loreintz Rosier 33'
  • goal Loreintz Rosier 39'
  • yellowcard Ryan Fosso 43'
  • yellowcard Darijo Grujcic 45'
  • yellowcard Alessio Da Cruz 70'
Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 5.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Makan Aiko 69' yellowcard
  • goal Koki Ogawa 35'
  • goal Rober 40'
  • goal Sami Ouaissa 88'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Oguzhan Ozyakup 37' yellowcard
  • Kaj Sierhuis 75' goal
  • Dimitris Siovas 90' yellowcard
  • goal Rober 59'
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 87'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2023 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Dirk Proper 16' yellowcard
  • Magnus Mattsson 33' goal
  • Elayis Tavsan 42' yellowcard
  • Koki Ogawa 45'+2' goal
  • Mees Hoedemakers 49' redcard
  • Magnus Mattsson 70' goal
  • Sontje Hansen 75' goal
  • Lasse Schone 86' yellowcard
  • redcard Tijanni Noslin 24'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Guth 53'
  • goal Kaj Sierhuis 69'
  • yellowcard Ivo Pinto 83'