International Friendlies
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Declan Rice
9'
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Anthony Gordon
68'
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Ollie Watkins
87'
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Shawn Johnson
22'
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Carlos Mora
45'
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Aarón Salazar
55'
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Cristopher Núñez
75'
England vs Costa Rica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Result
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%) , while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result
England
60.3%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
22.8%
▲
(+0.11)
Costa Rica
16.9%
▼
(-0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
47.4%
▼
(-0.61)
Goals
Over 1.5
73.66%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 1.5
26.34%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 2.5
49.55%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 2.5
50.45%
▲
(+0.56)
Over 3.5
28.45%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 3.5
71.55%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 4.5
17.39%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 4.5
82.61%
▲
(+0.24)
England Goals
Over 1.5
53.49%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
46.51%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 2.5
27.4%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 2.5
72.6%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 3.5
11.49%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
88.51%
▲
(+0.11)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5
49.74%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 0.5
50.26%
▲
(+0.48)
Over 1.5
18.74%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 1.5
81.26%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 2.5
5.44%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
94.56%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
1.37%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
98.63%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
England
60.31%
Draw
22.8%
Costa Rica
16.91%
England
1-0
@
13.08%
▲
(+0.25)
2-0 @ 11.48% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 11.37% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 60.31%
2-0 @ 11.48% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 11.37% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 60.31%
Draw
1-1
@
10.26%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 22.8%
0-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 22.8%
Costa Rica
0-1
@
5.74%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 16.91%
1-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 16.91%
Head to Head
International Friendlies
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Marcus Rashford
13'
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Danny Welbeck
76'
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Ronald Matarrita
67'
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Giancarlo Gonzalez
68'
World Cup
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Giancarlo Gonzalez
60'
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Ross Barkley
53'
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Adam Lallana
57'
Build-up
News
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News
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