Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 53.9%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.02%) and 1-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.