Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.