EFL Trophy
Feb 24, 2026 7.00pm
Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton Town vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a draw has a probability of 55.79%. A draw has a probability of 23.38% and a win for Plymouth Argyle has a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a draw is 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.57%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.45%) , while for a Plymouth Argyle win it is 0-1 (6.41%).

Result

Luton Town 55.79% (-1.43)
Draw 23.38% (+0.24)
Plymouth Argyle 20.83% (+1.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.11% (-0.83)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.26% (-1.47)
Under 1.5 23.74% (+1.47)
Over 2.5 52.24% (-1.93)
Under 2.5 47.76% (+1.93)
Over 3.5 29.24% (-2.15)
Under 3.5 70.76% (+2.15)
Over 4.5 17.51% (-1.67)
Under 4.5 82.49% (+1.68)

First Half Winner

Luton Town 42.22% (-2.43)
Draw 39.54% (+0.95)
Plymouth Argyle 18.24% (+1.47)

Team To Score First

Luton Town 58.27% (-2.39)
No Goal 6.37% (+0.42)
Plymouth Argyle 35.36% (+1.98)

Corners

Over 8 67.01% (+1.44)
Equal 8 10% (+0.07)
Under 8 23% (-1.49)
Over 9 56.05% (+1.23)
Equal 9 10.96% (+0.21)
Under 9 32.99% (-1.43)
Over 10.5 45.02% (+0.93)
Under 10.5 54.98% (-0.93)

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 51.95% (-2.36)
Under 1.5 48.05% (+2.36)
Over 2.5 25.72% (-2.41)
Under 2.5 74.28% (+2.41)
Over 3.5 10.36% (-1.71)
Under 3.5 89.64% (+1.71)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 56.89% (+1.00)
Under 0.5 43.11% (-1.00)
Over 1.5 22.93% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 77.07% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 6.99% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 93.01% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 1.78% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 98.22% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Luton Town 55.78%
Draw 23.39%
Plymouth Argyle 20.83%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.96% (+0.50)
2-1 @ 10.57% (+0.27)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.93% (-0.31)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.42)
3-2 @ 2.94% (+0.11)
Other @ 10.27% (-1.56)
Total : 55.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 6.37% (+0.42)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.15)
Total : 23.39%
Plymouth Argyle
0-1 @ 6.41% (+0.58)
1-2 @ 5.48% (+0.29)
0-2 @ 3% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 1.67% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.69% (+0.05)
Total : 20.83%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2026 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Home Park
League One
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Jacob Brown 55' goal
  • goal Maksym Talovierov 70'
  • yellowcard Kornel Szucs 77'
  • yellowcard Mustapha Bundu 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 27, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
  • Rami Hajal 8' goal
  • Adam Randell 36' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Cissoko 69' goal
  • Ibrahim Cissoko 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Elijah Adebayo 15'
  • goal Victor Moses 71'
  • yellowcard Reuell Walters 83'
  • yellowcard Reece Burke 87'
  • yellowcard Jordan Clark 87'
League One Gameweek 36
Mar 9, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Home Park (Plymouth)
  • Graham Carey 29' yellowcard
  • Ryan Edwards 42' yellowcard
  • Niall Canavan 62' yellowcard
  • David Fox 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 30'
  • yellowcard Andrew Shinnie 74'
League One Gameweek 18
Nov 17, 2018 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium (Luton, Bedfordshire)
  • James Collins 12' goal
  • Elliot Lee 23' goal
  • James Justin 29' goal
  • James Collins 45' goal
  • James Collins 77' goal
  • yellowcard Stuart O'Keefe 52'
  • yellowcard Graham Carey 73'
  • goal Joel Grant 89'