EFL Trophy
Feb 24, 2026 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Isaiah Jones 16' goal
  • Nigel Cello Lonwijk 33' yellowcard
  • Joseph Johnson 46' yellowcard
  • Shayden Morris 46' yellowcard
  • Kasey Palmer 65' yellowcard
  • Jordan Clark 89' yellowcard
  • Emilio Lawrence 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Mackenzie 46'
  • yellowcard Caleb Watts 46'
  • yellowcard Tegan Finn 65'
  • goal Tegan Finn 77'
  • yellowcard Julio Pleguezuelo 90'
  • yellowcard 90'

Luton Town vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.46% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%) , while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Luton Town 52.61% (-0.89)
Draw 24.46% (+0.25)
Plymouth Argyle 22.93% (+0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.06% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.75% (-1.16)
Under 1.5 24.25% (+1.15)
Over 2.5 52.16% (-1.35)
Under 2.5 47.84% (+1.35)
Over 3.5 29.7% (-0.97)
Under 3.5 70.3% (+0.96)
Over 4.5 16.91% (-0.92)
Under 4.5 83.09% (+0.93)

First Half Winner

Luton Town 37.78% (+0.08)
Draw 40.95% (+0.04)
Plymouth Argyle 21.27% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Luton Town 58.01% (+0.22)
No Goal 6.5% (+0.37)
Plymouth Argyle 35.49% (-0.58)

Corners

Over 8 65.17% (-0.63)
Equal 8 9.83% (-0.04)
Under 8 25% (+0.68)
Over 9 54.57% (-0.53)
Equal 9 10.6% (-0.10)
Under 9 34.83% (+0.63)
Over 10.5 44% (-0.40)
Under 10.5 56% (+0.40)

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 49.74% (-1.51)
Under 1.5 50.26% (+1.51)
Over 2.5 24.33% (-1.06)
Under 2.5 75.67% (+1.05)
Over 3.5 8.86% (-0.74)
Under 3.5 91.14% (+0.74)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 59.42% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 40.58% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 25.68% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 74.32% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.16% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 91.84% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 2.22% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.78% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Luton Town 52.61%
Draw 24.47%
Plymouth Argyle 22.93%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.95% (+0.40)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.28)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.20)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.76% (-0.69)
Total : 52.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.5% (+0.37)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.05)
Total : 24.47%
Plymouth Argyle
0-1 @ 6.81% (+0.42)
1-2 @ 5.86% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 3.27% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 1.99% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.12% (-0.03)
Total : 22.93%

Head to Head

League One
Jan 24, 2026 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
  • Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu 9' yellowcard
  • Brendan Galloway 45'+3' goal
  • Caleb Watts 54' yellowcard
  • Kornél Szűcs 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shayden Morris 57'
  • yellowcard Cohen Bramall 77'
  • yellowcard Jerry Yates 78'
League One
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Jacob Brown 55' goal
  • goal Maksym Talovierov 70'
  • yellowcard Kornel Szucs 77'
  • yellowcard Mustapha Bundu 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 27, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
  • Rami Hajal 8' goal
  • Adam Randell 36' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Cissoko 69' goal
  • Ibrahim Cissoko 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Elijah Adebayo 15'
  • goal Victor Moses 71'
  • yellowcard Reuell Walters 83'
  • yellowcard Reece Burke 87'
  • yellowcard Jordan Clark 87'
League One Gameweek 36
Mar 9, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Home Park (Plymouth)
  • Graham Carey 29' yellowcard
  • Ryan Edwards 42' yellowcard
  • Niall Canavan 62' yellowcard
  • David Fox 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 30'
  • yellowcard Andrew Shinnie 74'
League One Gameweek 18
Nov 17, 2018 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium (Luton, Bedfordshire)
  • James Collins 12' goal
  • Elliot Lee 23' goal
  • James Justin 29' goal
  • James Collins 45' goal
  • James Collins 77' goal
  • yellowcard Stuart O'Keefe 52'
  • yellowcard Graham Carey 73'
  • goal Joel Grant 89'