Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-2 (8.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.