Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.61%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.