Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.