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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 34.08% ( | 22.45% ( | 43.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.31% ( | 33.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.48% ( | 55.52% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% ( | 20.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.31% ( | 52.69% ( |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.81% ( | 16.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.33% ( | 45.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 1-0 @ 5.24% ( 2-0 @ 4.18% ( 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 4.04% Total : 34.08% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-0 @ 3.29% ( 3-3 @ 2.23% ( Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 1-3 @ 5.27% ( 2-3 @ 4.2% ( 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 1-4 @ 2.4% ( 2-4 @ 1.91% ( 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 3-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.72% Total : 43.48% |