Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 11, 2025 at 6.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
4 - 0
Augsburg

Karazor (8'), Woltemade (51'), Millot (80'), Demirovic (87')
Millot (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Giannoulis (86')
Essende (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, May 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 1-3 Holstein Kiel
Sunday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 56.84%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 21.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 1-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Augsburg
56.84% ( 0.73)	21.34% ( -0.21)	21.82% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 60.15% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.12% (

0.35)

37.88% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.86% (

0.37)

60.13% (

-0.37)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.78% (

0.34)

13.22% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.04% (

0.67)

39.96% (

-0.68)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.31% (

-0.26)

30.68% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.06% (

-0.31)

66.93% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 56.84%

Augsburg 21.82%

Draw 21.34%

Stuttgart	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.73% Total : 56.84%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.34%	1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 21.82%