Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 56.84%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 21.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 1-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.