Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.