Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.