Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 1, 2026 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Parken
  • Mikkel Damsgaard 23' goal
  • Rasmus Højlund 53' goal
  • Mohamed Daramy 79' yellowcard
  • goal João Cancelo 13'
  • goal Gonçalo Ramos 25'
  • goal Vitinha 67'
  • yellowcard Jorge Jesus 68'
  • yellowcard Rúben Neves 82'
  • goal João Félix 87'

Denmark vs Portugal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Norway 3 - 2 Denmark

Portugal

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Portugal 1 - 0 Wales

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Portugal had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Portugal win was 1-2 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%).

Result

Denmark 38.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 24.32%
Portugal 37.27% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.06%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.81%
Under 1.5 21.19%
Over 2.5 56.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 43.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 33.9%
Under 3.5 66.1%
Over 4.5 20.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.7% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Denmark 30.37%
Draw 41.92%
Portugal 27.71%

Team To Score First

Denmark 49.89% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 5.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Portugal 44.52%

Corners

Over 8 54.51%
Equal 8 11.09%
Under 8 34.4%
Over 9 43.53%
Equal 9 10.98%
Under 9 45.49%
Over 10.5 33.48%
Under 10.5 66.52%

Denmark Goals

Over 1.5 41.2% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.9% ▼ (-0.01)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5 70.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 29.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 39.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.24%
Under 3.5 93.76%

Score analysis

Denmark 38.41%
Draw 24.32%
Portugal 37.27%
Denmark
2-1 @ 8.12%
1-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.59%
Other @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 38.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 5.75%
0-0 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 24.32%
Portugal
1-2 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 5.68%
1-3 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.93%
Total : 37.27%

Head to Head

Nations League
Mar 23, 2025 7.45pm
5
2
HT : 1 0
ET Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Joachim Andersen 38' goal
  • Ruben Dias 50' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 72' goal
  • Diogo Jota 75' yellowcard
  • Francisco Trincao 86' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 91' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 115' goal
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 50'
  • goal Rasmus Kristensen 56'
  • yellowcard Christian Norgaard 66'
  • goal Christian Eriksen 76'
  • yellowcard Joachim Andersen 105'+3'
  • yellowcard Jannik Vestergaard 120'+1'
Nations League
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parken
  • Rasmus Hojlund 78' goal
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 57'
  • yellowcard Vitinha 59'
European Championship
Oct 8, 2015 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joao Moutinho 66' goal
  • Rui Patricio 82' yellowcard
  • Danilo 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pierre Hojbjerg 25'
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 43'
  • yellowcard Daniel Wass 68'
European Championship
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Cristiano Ronaldo 92'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 95'
European Championship
Jun 13, 2012 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT