/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fgrelog.png)
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Nathan
41'
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Riquelme Freitas dos Santos
75'
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Elvio de Jesus Vera Britez
38'
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Fernando Benitez
85'
Gremio vs Sportivo Luqueno - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 13.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
Result
Gremio
68.49%
▼
(-1.88)
Draw
18.38%
▲
(+0.92)
Sportivo Luqueno
13.13%
▲
(+0.97)
Both Teams to Score:
51.97%
▼
(-0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.22%
▼
(-1.89)
Under 2.5
39.78%
▲
(+1.90)
Over 3.5
37.86%
▼
(-2.00)
Under 3.5
62.14%
▲
(+2.00)
Over 4.5
20.45%
▼
(-1.58)
Under 4.5
79.55%
▲
(+1.58)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5
89.41%
▼
(-0.97)
Under 0.5
10.59%
▲
(+0.98)
Over 1.5
65.63%
▼
(-2.23)
Under 1.5
34.38%
▲
(+2.23)
Sportivo Luqueno Goals
Over 0.5
58.13%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 0.5
41.87%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 1.5
21.68%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 1.5
78.32%
▼
(-0.25)
Score analysis
Gremio
68.48%
Draw
18.38%
Sportivo Luqueno
13.13%
Gremio
2-0
@
11.17%
▲
(+0.07)
1-0 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.47)
2-1 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.31)
3-1 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.22)
4-0 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.39)
4-1 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.30)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.27)
5-1 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.22)
4-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 68.48%
1-0 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.47)
2-1 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.31)
3-1 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.22)
4-0 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.39)
4-1 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.30)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.27)
5-1 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.22)
4-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 68.48%
Draw
1-1
@
8.67%
▲
(+0.47)
0-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.38)
2-2 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 18.38%
0-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.38)
2-2 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 18.38%
Sportivo Luqueno
0-1
@
3.86%
▲
(+0.36)
1-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.13%
1-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.13%