Copa Libertadores Gameweek 6
May 27, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz

Club Libertad vs UCV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 20, 2026 3.00am
Independiente 4 - 1 Libertad

UCV

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 19, 2026 11.00pm
Rosario 4 - 0 UCV

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Club Libertad win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for UCV has a probability of 27.31% and a draw has a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest UCV win is 1-2 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.15%).

Result

Club Libertad 48.22% (+0.30)
Draw 24.47% (+0.09)
UCV 27.31% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.61% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.78% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 21.22% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 56.66% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 43.34% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 33.04% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 66.96% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 19.3% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 80.7% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Club Libertad 35.86% (-0.29)
Draw 44.69% (+0.93)
UCV 19.45% (-0.65)

Team To Score First

Club Libertad 59.96% (+0.83)
No Goal 5.83% (+0.04)
UCV 34.21% (-0.86)

Corners

Over 8 50.13% (+0.25)
Equal 8 12.39% (+0.30)
Under 8 37.48% (-0.54)
Over 9 38.24% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.89% (+0.31)
Under 9 49.87% (-0.25)
Over 10.5 27.78% (-0.33)
Under 10.5 72.22% (+0.32)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 1.5 49.11% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 50.89% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 23.6% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.4% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 9.24% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 90.76% (-0.09)

UCV Goals

Over 0.5 64.3% (-0.50)
Under 0.5 35.7% (+0.50)
Over 1.5 31.52% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 68.48% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 11.52% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 88.48% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 3.43% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 96.57% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Club Libertad 48.22%
Draw 24.47%
UCV 27.31%
Club Libertad
2-1 @ 9.92% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.87% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 7.43% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.57% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.07)
Other @ 9% (+0.08)
Total : 48.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.89% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 5.83% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.02)
Total : 24.47%
UCV
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.19% (-0.13)
Total : 27.31%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 9, 2026 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
  • Juan Manuel Cuesta 30' goal
  • Alexander Granko 66' yellowcard
  • Yeiber Murillo 80' yellowcard
  • Yeiber Murillo 87' goal
  • Charlis Ortiz 87' yellowcard
  • Vicente Rodríguez 87' yellowcard
  • Daniel De Sousa 87' yellowcard
  • Francisco Solé 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Lorenzo Melgarejo 61'
  • yellowcard Pedro Villalba 64'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Aguilar 77'
  • yellowcard Federico Carrizo 77'
  • yellowcard Alexis Fretes 84'
  • yellowcard Hugo Martínez 84'