Copa Libertadores Gameweek 6
Cerro Porteno
May 28, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Cristal

Cerro Porteno vs Sporting Cristal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 21, 2026 1.30am
Palmeiras 0 - 1 Cerro Porteno

Sporting Cristal

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 21, 2026 3.00am
Junior 3 - 2 Cristal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw has a probability of 25.51% and a win for Sporting Cristal has a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.07%) , while for a Sporting Cristal win it is 0-1 (7.79%).

Result

Cerro Porteno 49.47% ▲ (+0.44)
Draw 25.51% ▼ (-0.25)
Sporting Cristal 25.01% ▼ (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.41% ▲ (+0.49)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.23% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 1.5 27.77% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 2.5 47.14% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 2.5 52.86% ▼ (-0.53)
Over 3.5 25.22% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 3.5 74.81% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 4.5 14.24% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 4.5 85.76% ▼ (-0.41)

First Half Winner

Cerro Porteno 34.4% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 44.48% ▼ (-0.47)
Sporting Cristal 21.12% ▲ (+0.59)

Team To Score First

Cerro Porteno 57.84% ▲ (+0.24)
No Goal 8.13% ▼ (-0.15)
Sporting Cristal 34.03% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 54.26% ▼ (-1.25)
Equal 8 11.5%
Under 8 34.24% ▲ (+1.25)
Over 9 42.85% ▼ (-1.15)
Equal 9 11.41% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 9 45.74% ▲ (+1.25)
Over 10.5 32.44% ▼ (-0.97)
Under 10.5 67.56% ▲ (+0.97)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 1.5 44.64% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 1.5 55.36% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 2.5 19.63% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 2.5 80.37% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 3.5 7.27% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 92.73% ▼ (-0.21)

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5 58.81% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 41.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 24.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 75.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.76% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Cerro Porteno 49.45%
Draw 25.51%
Sporting Cristal 25.02%
Cerro Porteno
1-0 @ 11.83% ▼ (-0.15)
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.21)
Total : 49.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.51%
Sporting Cristal
0-1 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.02%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Cristal
Apr 9, 2026 3.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Cerro Porteno
  • Yoshimar Yotún 61' yellowcard
  • Santiago González 72' yellowcard
  • Felipe Vizeu 72' yellowcard
  • Felipe Vizeu 82' goal
  • Catriel Cabellos 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Soñora 14'
  • yellowcard Mateo Klimowicz 14'
  • yellowcard Josué Servín Leon 46'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Benitez 46'
  • yellowcard Juan Iturbe 86'
  • yellowcard Edgar Raul Paez Torales 86'
Copa Libertadores
Cristal
May 14, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nacional de Lima
Cerro Porteno
  • Fernando Pacheco 20' yellowcard
  • Fernando Pacheco 20' yellowcard
  • Rafael Lutiger 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Rafael Lutiger 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Gianfranco Chavez 53' yellowcard
  • Gianfranco Chavez 53' yellowcard
  • Martin Tavara 70' yellowcard
  • Martin Tavara 70' yellowcard
  • Jostin Alarcon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Jostin Alarcon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Perez 6'
  • yellowcard Matias Perez 6'
  • goal Juan Iturbe 14'
  • goal Juan Iturbe 14'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Torres 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Torres 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Robert Piris 53'
  • yellowcard Robert Piris 53'
  • redcard Jonathan Torres 83'
  • redcard Jonathan Torres 83'
Copa Libertadores
Cerro Porteno
Apr 25, 2025 1.30am
2
2
HT : 4 2
FT Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Cristal
  • Wilder Viera 15' yellowcard
  • Wilder Viera 15' yellowcard
  • Matias Perez 30' yellowcard
  • Matias Perez 30' yellowcard
  • Cecilio Dominguez 42' goal
  • Cecilio Dominguez 42' goal
  • Federico Carrizo 44' goal
  • Federico Carrizo 44' goal
  • Cecilio Dominguez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Cecilio Dominguez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafael Lutiger 36'
  • yellowcard Rafael Lutiger 36'
  • goal Santiago Emanuel Gonzalez 37'
  • goal Santiago Emanuel Gonzalez 37'
  • yellowcard Franco Romero 61'
  • yellowcard Franco Romero 61'
  • yellowcard Martin Tavara 67'
  • yellowcard Martin Tavara 67'
  • goal Rafael Lutiger 90'+2'
  • goal Rafael Lutiger 90'+2'

Form Data

Palmeiras 0 - 1 Cerro Porteno
Junior 0 - 1 Cerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno 1 - 1 Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno 1 - 0 Junior
Cristal 1 - 0 Cerro Porteno
San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Cerro Porteno
Junior 3 - 2 Cristal
Cristal 0 - 2 Palmeiras
Cristal 2 - 0 Junior
Palmeiras 2 - 1 Cristal
Cristal 1 - 0 Cerro Porteno
Cristal 1 - 2 Carabobo