Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 0-1 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.