CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 5, 2024 9.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Brandon Barzey 28' goal
  • Alex Dyer 73' yellowcard
  • Brandon Barzey 81' yellowcard
  • goal Brayan Landaverde 9'
  • goal Emerson Saul Mauricio Aquino 63'
  • goal Tereso Alexi Benitez 68'
  • goal Kevin Oswaldo Santamaria Guzman 84'

Montserrat vs El Salvador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montserrat

All competitions

El Salvador

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 14.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.19%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Montserrat win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Salvador would win this match.

Result

Montserrat 14.91% (-1.09)
Draw 20.29% (+0.28)
El Salvador 64.81% (+0.82)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.25% (-3.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.5% (-3.40)
Under 2.5 44.5% (+3.41)
Over 3.5 33.13% (-3.38)
Under 3.5 66.87% (+3.39)
Over 4.5 16.89% (-2.52)
Under 4.5 83.11% (+2.52)

Montserrat Goals

Over 0.5 57.74% (-3.52)
Under 0.5 42.26% (+3.53)
Over 1.5 21.34% (-3.19)
Under 1.5 78.66% (+3.19)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5 87.03% (-0.80)
Under 0.5 12.97% (+0.81)
Over 1.5 60.54% (-1.66)
Under 1.5 39.46% (+1.67)

Score analysis

Montserrat 14.91%
Draw 20.29%
El Salvador 64.8%
Montserrat
1-0 @ 4.72% (+0.26)
2-1 @ 4.15% (-0.32)
2-0 @ 2.03% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.22% (-0.27)
3-1 @ 1.19% (-0.22)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 14.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.64% (+0.23)
0-0 @ 5.48% (+0.77)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.47)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 20.29%
El Salvador
0-2 @ 11.43% (+0.99)
0-1 @ 11.19% (+1.27)
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 7.79% (+0.45)
1-3 @ 6.71% (-0.26)
0-4 @ 3.98% (+0.11)
1-4 @ 3.43% (-0.25)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.42)
0-5 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.27)
1-5 @ 1.4% (-0.15)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 64.8%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Mar 28, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Ergilio Hato
  • Nathan Pond 21' yellowcard
  • Brandon Comley 69' yellowcard
  • Lyle Taylor 89' goal
  • goal David Rugamas 3'
  • yellowcard Andres Flores Jaco 61'
  • yellowcard Dustin Corea 76'
  • yellowcard Ivan Mancia 83'