CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Sep 5, 2024 at 9pm UK

Montserrat
1 - 4
El Salvador

Barzey (28')
Dyer (73'), Barzey (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Landaverde (9'), Saul Mauricio Aquino (63'), Alexi Benitez (68'), Oswaldo Santamaria Guzman (84' pen.)

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Montserrat and El Salvador.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montserrat

All competitions

Last Game: Montserrat 1-3 Panama
Monday, June 10 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

El Salvador

All competitions

Last Game: Guatemala 0-1 El Salvador
Sunday, July 28 at 3.30am in International Friendlies

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 14.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.19%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Montserrat win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Salvador would win this match.

Result
Montserrat	Draw	El Salvador
14.91% ( -1.08)	20.29% ( 0.27)	64.81% ( 0.81)

Both teams to score 50.25% (

-3.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.5% (

-3.4)

44.5% (

3.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.13% (

-3.38)

66.87% (

3.38)

Montserrat Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.74% (

-3.52)

42.26% (

3.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.34% (

-3.18)

78.66% (

3.19)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.03% (

-0.8)

12.97% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.54% (

-1.66)

39.46% (

1.66)

Score Analysis

Montserrat 14.91%

El Salvador 64.8%

Draw 20.29%

Montserrat	Draw	El Salvador
1-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.22) Other @ 1.59% Total : 14.91%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.77) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.46) Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.29%	0-2 @ 11.43% ( 0.98) 0-1 @ 11.19% ( 1.26) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 7.79% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 6.71% ( -0.26) 0-4 @ 3.98% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.41) 0-5 @ 1.63% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.26) 1-5 @ 1.4% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.05% Total : 64.8%