Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Yunnan Yukun had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Yunnan Yukun win was 0-1 (8.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.