Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenyang Urban win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Yunnan Yukun had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenyang Urban win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Yunnan Yukun win was 1-2 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.