Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chongqing Tongliang Long win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for Yunnan Yukun had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chongqing Tongliang Long win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Yunnan Yukun win was 1-2 (6.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.