Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 57.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.65% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%) , while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.