Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (11.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.