Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Jul 18, 2020 at 12.30pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 0
Brentford

Gregory (38')
Campbell (74'), McClean (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reaction

Brentford boss Thomas Frank on July 18, 2020

Thomas Frank "very proud" of Brentford despite costly Stoke defeat

Brentford missed the chance to go second.

Jul 18, 16:48

The Match

Match Report

The Bees remain one point behind the Baggies with one game to play.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Stoke City and Brentford, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Brentford
27.67%	25.32%	47.02%

Both teams to score 53.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.9%

50.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.93%

72.07%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.52%

32.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.99%

69.01%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.68%

21.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.73%

54.27%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 27.67%

Brentford 47.02%

Draw 25.31%

Stoke City	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 7.79% 2-1 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 4.38% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 1.96% 3-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.67%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-2 @ 8.27% 1-3 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 4.26% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.46% Total : 47.02%