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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 37.71% | 26.21% | 36.09% |
| Both teams to score 53.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.93% | 51.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.07% | 72.93% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% | 26.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.48% | 61.52% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.69% | 27.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.25% | 62.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 9.6% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.71% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 9.35% 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.99% Total : 36.09% |