Nov 21, 2026 3.00pm

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke City vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

W
W
W
D
W
L

Championship

W
W
W
D
W
L

Last game

Nov 7, 2026 12.30pm

Portsmouth 1 - 2 Stoke

Goals scored

24

Top scorer

Jack McGlynn

Birmingham City

All competitions

W
W
W
L
W
W

Championship

W
W
W
L
W
W

Last game

Nov 7, 2026 3.00pm

Birmingham 2 - 1 Swansea

Goals scored

28

Top scorer

August Priske Flyger

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Birmingham City has a probability of 36.52% and a draw has a probability of 25.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Birmingham City win is 0-1 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.04%).

Result

Stoke City 37.69% ▲ (+0.06)

Draw 25.82% ▼ (-0.04)

Birmingham City 36.52%

Both Teams to Score:

57.13% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.42% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 1.5 23.58% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 2.5 52.89% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 2.5 47.11% ▼ (-0.11)

Over 3.5 30.97% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 3.5 69.03% ▼ (-0.10)

Over 4.5 17.78% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 4.5 82.22% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Stoke City 26.57%

Draw 44.42%

Birmingham City 29%

Team To Score First

Stoke City 44.29% ▲ (+0.01)

No Goal 6.63% ▼ (-0.01)

Birmingham City 49.08%

Corners

Over 8 57.97%

Equal 8 12.33%

Under 8 29.7%

Over 9 45.32%

Equal 9 12.64%

Under 9 42.03%

Over 10.5 33.58%

Under 10.5 66.42%

Stoke City Goals

Over 1.5 38.85% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 1.5 61.15% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 2.5 16.71% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 2.5 83.29% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 3.5 5.84% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 3.5 94.16% ▼ (-0.05)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 70.73%

Under 0.5 29.27%

Over 1.5 38.09% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 61.91% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 15.53% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 2.5 84.47% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 5.41% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 3.5 94.59% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Stoke City 37.68%

Draw 25.82%

Birmingham City 36.51%

Stoke City

1-0 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.01)

2-1 @ 8.31%

2-0 @ 5.65%

3-1 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 2.84%

Other @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.05)

Total : 37.68%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.04% ▼ (-0.03)

0-0 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 5.65%

3-3 @ 1.31%

Other @ 0.19%

Total : 25.82%

Birmingham City

0-1 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.03)

1-2 @ 8.17%

0-2 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 3.69%

0-3 @ 2.59%

2-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 36.51%

Head to Head

Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT St. Andrew's Stadium

Tomoki Iwata 42'
August Priske 56'
Jhon Solís 57'
Jay Stansfield 67'
Kyogo Furuhashi 81'
Scott Wright 90'+2'

Aaron Cresswell 68'
Favour Fawunmi 68'
Phil Neumann 71' (OG)
Lamine Cissé 80'
Ben Pearson 89'

Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Bet365 Stadium

Bosun Lawal 21'
Junior Tchamadeu 77'
Ben Pearson 80'
Sorba Thomas 83'

Bright Osayi-Samuel 90'+4'

Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Bet365 Stadium

Jordan Thompson 70'
Lynden Gooch 90'+3'
Ben Wilmot 90'+5'

Jay Stansfield 10'
Juninho Bacuna 49'

Dec 26, 2023 5.15pm

1

3

HT : 0 2

FT St. Andrew's Stadium

Koji Miyoshi 12'
Juninho Bacuna 33'
Jay Stansfield 69'

Jordan Thompson 12'
Lynden Gooch 31'
Andre Vidigal 34'
Junior Tchamadeu 51'
Andre Vidigal 53'
Joon-Ho Bae 83'

Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT St. Andrew's Stadium

Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Bet365 Stadium

Lewis Baker 75'

Scott Hogan 13'
Harlee Dean 67'

Form Data

Portsmouth 1 - 2 Stoke

Blackburn 1 - 2 Stoke

Stoke 2 - 0 Preston

Stoke 0 - 0 Bristol City

Derby 0 - 1 Stoke

Stoke 2 - 3 Middlesbrough

Birmingham 2 - 1 Swansea

Birmingham 3 - 0 Millwall

Lincoln 1 - 3 Birmingham

Cardiff 1 - 0 Birmingham

Birmingham 3 - 0 QPR

Birmingham 4 - 0 Preston