Championship Gameweek 15
Nov 7, 2026 12.30pm
Fratton Park

Portsmouth vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last game
Nov 3, 2026 7.45pm
Portsmouth 3 - 1 Swansea
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Terry Devlin

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 3, 2026 7.45pm
Blackburn 1 - 2 Stoke
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Jack McGlynn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portsmouth win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Stoke City has a probability of 33.77% and a draw has a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Stoke City win is 0-1 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.01%).

Result

Portsmouth 41.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 25.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Stoke City 33.77% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.81% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.21% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 23.79% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 52.45% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 47.55% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 30.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 69.84% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.09% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Portsmouth 34.02% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 42.57% ▼ (-0.11)
Stoke City 23.41% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Portsmouth 51.76%
No Goal 6.32%
Stoke City 41.92%

Corners

Over 8 70.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 9.67%
Under 8 19.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 59.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 29.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 48.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 51.58% ▲ (+0.01)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 1.5 41.02% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 58.98% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 17.2% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 82.8% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.35% ▲ (+0.02)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 68.82%
Under 0.5 31.18%
Over 1.5 35.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.53%
Under 3.5 95.47%

Score analysis

Portsmouth 41.16%
Draw 25.05%
Stoke City 33.78%
Portsmouth
1-0 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 6.61%
3-1 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02%
Other @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 41.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.32%
2-2 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.05%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.84%
0-2 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 33.78%

Head to Head

Championship
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Ben Gibson 46' yellowcard
  • Jesurun Rak-Sakyi 46' yellowcard
  • Lamine Cissé 48' goal
  • Junior Tchamadeu 63' yellowcard
  • Steven​ N'Zonzi 71' yellowcard
  • Million Manhoef 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Killip 4'
  • goal Adrian Segecic 32'
  • yellowcard Ibane Bowat 61'
  • yellowcard Josh Murphy 61'
  • yellowcard Josh Murphy 62'
  • goal Adrian Segecic 66'
  • yellowcard Jacob Brown 78'
  • yellowcard Thomas Waddingham 79'
  • goal Adrian Segecic 82'
Championship
Oct 25, 2025 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Fratton Park
  • Colby Bishop 5' goal
  • Callum Lang 9' goal
  • Marlon Pack 13' yellowcard
  • Rob Atkinson 31' yellowcard
  • Connor Ogilvie 49' goal
  • goal Ben Wilmot 27'
  • yellowcard Tatsuki Seko 33'
  • yellowcard Lewis Baker 56'
  • yellowcard Nathan Lowe 79'
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Viktor Johansson 90'+2'
Championship Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2024 7.45pm
6
1
HT : 3 1
FT Britannia Stadium
  • Tom Cannon 13' goal
  • Tom Cannon 43' goal
  • Sam Gallagher 45'+1' goal
  • Tom Cannon 48' goal
  • Tom Cannon 51' goal
  • Andy Moran 54' goal
  • Andy Moran 55' yellowcard
  • Joon-Ho Bae 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Lane 26'
  • goal Mark O'Mahony 29'
League Cup
Aug 27, 2014 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonathan Walters 16' goal
  • Jonathan Walters 47' goal
  • Charlie Adam 85' yellowcard
  • Pater Crouch 90' goal
Premier League
Feb 20, 2010 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Frederic Piquionne 35' goal
  • Jamie O'Hara 60' yellowcard
  • Hermann Hreidarsson 90' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Huth 50'
  • yellowcard Andy Wilkinson 67'
  • redcard Andy Wilkinson 73'