Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
Bet365 Stadium

Stoke City vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Derby 0 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Ethan Galbraith

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Bristol City 0 - 1 Sheff Utd
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Dom Ballard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Bristol City has a probability of 36.07% and a draw has a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Bristol City win is 0-1 (9.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.65%).

Result

Stoke City 36.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 27.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Bristol City 36.07% ▼ (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.43% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.49% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 27.51% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 47.44% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 52.56% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 26.58% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 73.42% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 13.96% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 86.04% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Stoke City 26.41%
Draw 46.82%
Bristol City 26.77%

Team To Score First

Stoke City 46.94% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 7.88% ▲ (+0.05)
Bristol City 45.18% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.54%
Equal 8 11.69%
Under 8 31.77%
Over 9 44.74%
Equal 9 11.8%
Under 9 43.46%
Over 10.5 33.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 66.18% ▼ (-0.01)

Stoke City Goals

Over 1.5 35.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.13%
Under 3.5 95.87%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 69.29% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 30.71% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 35.45% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 64.55% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 13.51% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 86.49% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.84% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Stoke City 36.88%
Draw 27.08%
Bristol City 36.07%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 8.07%
2-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 36.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.08%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 36.07%

Head to Head

Championship
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Delano Burgzorg 1' goal
  • Mark Sykes 74' yellowcard
  • Sam Bell 81' yellowcard
  • Emil Riis 84' yellowcard
  • Sam Bell 88' goal
  • yellowcard Tatsuki Seko 45'
  • yellowcard Tatsuki Seko 46'
  • yellowcard Sam Gallagher 59'
  • yellowcard Jesurun Rak-Sakyi 59'
  • yellowcard Syd Agina 71'
  • yellowcard Milan Smit 87'
Championship
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Robins High Performance Centre
  • Anis Mehmeti 11' goal
  • Haydon Roberts 40' yellowcard
  • Anis Mehmeti 73' goal
  • Marcus McGuane 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Rose 24'
  • yellowcard Ben Gibson 53'
Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Britannia Stadium
  • Lewis Koumas 2' goal
  • Andy Moran 14' goal
  • Joon-Ho Bae 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Andy Moran 74' yellowcard
  • Jordan Thompson 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Nahki Wells 50'
  • yellowcard Joe Williams 51'
  • goal Nahki Wells 52'
Championship Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Luke Cundle 25' goal
  • Tyrese Campbell 45' goal
  • Million Manhoef 45'+2' goal
  • Million Manhoef 49' goal
Championship Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 4 2
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Sam Bell 5' goal
  • Sam Bell 5' goal
  • Nahki Wells 15' goal
  • Nahki Wells 15' goal
  • Andreas Weimann 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Andreas Weimann 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Mehdi Leris 20'
  • goal Mehdi Leris 20'
  • goal Sead Haksabanovic 47'
  • goal Sead Haksabanovic 47'
  • goal Nathan Lowe 89'
  • goal Nathan Lowe 89'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 90'+5'