Championship Gameweek 15
Nov 7, 2026 3.00pm
St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham City vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 3, 2026 8.00pm
Birmingham 3 - 0 Millwall
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
August Priske Flyger

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 3, 2026 7.45pm
Portsmouth 3 - 1 Swansea
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Adam Idah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw has a probability of 24.56% and a win for Swansea City has a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.01%) , while for a Swansea City win it is 0-1 (6.29%).

Result

Birmingham City 54.12% ▼ (-0.43)
Draw 24.56% ▲ (+0.08)
Swansea City 21.28% ▲ (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.69% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.36% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 25.64% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 50.92% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 49.08% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 28.92% ▲ (+0.62)
Under 3.5 71.08% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 4.5 16.81% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 4.5 83.19% ▼ (-0.47)

First Half Winner

Birmingham City 40.15% ▲ (+0.93)
Draw 38.38% ▼ (-0.60)
Swansea City 21.47% ▼ (-0.33)

Team To Score First

Birmingham City 57.55% ▲ (+0.20)
No Goal 7.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Swansea City 34.99% ▼ (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 62.05% ▲ (+5.73)
Equal 8 11.38% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 8 26.56% ▼ (-6.02)
Over 9 50.03% ▲ (+4.90)
Equal 9 12.02% ▲ (+0.84)
Under 9 37.95% ▼ (-5.73)
Over 10.5 38.45% ▲ (+3.71)
Under 10.5 61.55% ▼ (-3.71)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 1.5 49.99% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 50.01% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 24.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 75.86% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 9.46% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 90.54% ▼ (-0.15)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 56.37%
Under 0.5 43.63%
Over 1.5 23.86% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 1.5 76.14% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 2.5 7.8% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 2.5 92.2% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 3.5 2.07% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 97.93% ▼ (-0.20)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 54.12%
Draw 24.56%
Swansea City 21.29%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 11.86% ▼ (-0.11)
2-1 @ 9.89% ▼ (-0.23)
2-0 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.55%
3-1 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 54.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.17% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 24.56%
Swansea City
0-1 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.20)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.23)
0-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 21.29%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Melker Widell 21' yellowcard
  • Cameron Burgess 62' yellowcard
  • goal August Priske 44'
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Zan Vipotnik 21' goal
  • Liam Cullen 68' yellowcard
  • Malick Yalcouyé 68' yellowcard
  • Zeidane Inoussa 77' yellowcard
  • Joel Ward 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jay Stansfield 56'
  • goal Patrick Roberts 72'
  • yellowcard Willum Thór Willumsson 85'
Championship
Sep 20, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Ivan Sunjic 29' yellowcard
  • Siriki Dembele 38' goal
  • Jay Stansfield 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Scott Hogan 56' yellowcard
  • Lee Buchanan 83' yellowcard
  • Jordan James 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jordan James 90'+5' goal
  • goal Harry Darling 36'
  • goal Jamal Lowe 58'
  • yellowcard Harry Darling 70'
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 76'
  • yellowcard Jerry Yates 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Jamie Paterson 2' yellowcard
  • Jerry Yates 76' goal
  • yellowcard T 27'
  • goal Siriki Dembele 45'
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 87'
  • yellowcard Koji Miyoshi 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Joel Piroe 23' goal
  • Liam Cullen 29' goal
  • Joel Piroe 58' goal
  • goal Scott Hogan 14'
  • goal Tahith Chong 55'
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 90'
  • goal Auston Trusty 90'+7'