Nov 21, 2026 12.30pm

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

L
D
W
W
D
W

Championship

L
D
W
W
D
W

Last game

Nov 7, 2026 3.00pm

Preston 1 - 0 Southampton

Goals scored

29

Top scorer

Cyle Larin

Derby County

All competitions

W
L
L
D
L
L

Championship

W
L
L
D
L
L

Last game

Nov 6, 2026 8.00pm

Derby 3 - 1 Bolton

Goals scored

14

Top scorer

Sammie Szmodics

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 62.92%. A draw has a probability of 22.13% and a win for Derby County has a probability of 14.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.6%) , while for a Derby County win it is 0-1 (4.45%).

Result

Southampton 62.92%

Draw 22.13%

Derby County 14.92%

Both Teams to Score:

50.92%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.72%

Under 1.5 22.28%

Over 2.5 56.04%

Under 2.5 43.96%

Over 3.5 34.53%

Under 3.5 65.47%

Over 4.5 22.61%

Under 4.5 77.39%

First Half Winner

Southampton 44.66%

Draw 38.29%

Derby County 17.05%

Team To Score First

Southampton 64.01%

No Goal 6.37%

Derby County 29.62%

Corners

Over 8 67.64%

Equal 8 10.44%

Under 8 21.92%

Over 9 56.09%

Equal 9 11.55%

Under 9 32.36%

Over 10.5 44.45%

Under 10.5 55.55%

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 58.97%

Under 1.5 41.03%

Over 2.5 33.29%

Under 2.5 66.71%

Over 3.5 15.85%

Under 3.5 84.15%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 49.12%

Under 0.5 50.88%

Over 1.5 19.67%

Under 1.5 80.33%

Over 2.5 5.99%

Under 2.5 94.01%

Over 3.5 1.67%

Under 3.5 98.33%

Score analysis

Southampton 62.92%

Draw 22.13%

Derby County 14.91%

Southampton

1-0 @ 11.42%

2-0 @ 10.35%

2-1 @ 9.37%

3-0 @ 7.24%

3-1 @ 6.03%

3-2 @ 3.05%

Other @ 15.46%

Total : 62.92%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.6%

0-0 @ 6.37%

2-2 @ 4.65%

3-3 @ 1.12%

Other @ 0.39%

Total : 22.13%

Derby County

0-1 @ 4.45%

1-2 @ 4.25%

0-2 @ 1.73%

2-3 @ 1.31%

1-3 @ 1.23%

Other @ 1.28%

Total : 14.91%

Head to Head

Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT St. Mary's Stadium

Leo Scienza 62'
Cyle Larin 64'
Kuryu Matsuki 64'
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 69'
Shea Emmanuel Charles 75'
Samuel Edozie 75'
Nathan Wood 87'
Cyle Larin 90'+3'

Oscar Fraulo 9'
Carlton Morris 38'
Dion Sanderson 53'
Oscar Fraulo 55'
Owen Eames 66'
Craig Forsyth 67'
Sondre Langås 67'
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 84'

Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Pride Park Stadium

Craig Forsyth 22'
Lewis Travis 32'
Max Johnston 33'
Patrick Agyemang 40'
Andreas Weimann 61'

Adam Armstrong 7'
Ross Stewart 15'
Flynn Downes 85'

Jan 16, 2019 7.45pm

2

2

ET

Tyreke Johnson 16'
Stuart Armstrong 68'
Nathan Redmond 70'
Cedric Soares 75'

Harry Wilson 76'
Martyn Waghorn 82'

Jan 5, 2019 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Jack Marriott 58'
Tom Lawrence 61'
Craig Bryson 64'
Jack Marriott 87'

Nathan Redmond 4'
Mohamed Elyounoussi 33'
Nathan Redmond 48'

Jul 21, 2018 3.00pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Tom Lawrence 58'
Tom Lawrence 68'
Mason Bennett 81'

Feb 18, 2012 3.00pm

4

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Jos Hooiveld 15'
Aaron Martin 57'
Adam Lallana 65'
Dan Harding 68'
Tadanari Lee 75'

James Bailey 14'

Form Data

Preston 1 - 0 Southampton

West Brom 1 - 1 Southampton

Southampton 4 - 1 QPR

West Ham 2 - 3 Southampton

Southampton 0 - 0 Bolton

Norwich 0 - 1 Southampton

Derby 3 - 1 Bolton

Derby 0 - 4 Norwich

Millwall 4 - 1 Derby

Sheff Utd 1 - 1 Derby

Derby 0 - 1 Stoke

QPR 4 - 1 Derby