Championship Gameweek 43
Middlesbrough
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Plymouth
  • Finn Azaz 12' goal
  • Tommy Conway 90'+3' goal
  • goal Mustapha Bundu 17'
  • yellowcard Julio Pleguezuelo 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Conor Hazard 52'
  • redcard Joe Edwards 90'+2'

Middlesbrough vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
Millwall 1 - 0 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Tommy Conway

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 12.30pm
Plymouth 2 - 1 Sheff Utd
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Mustapha Bundu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 75.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result

Middlesbrough 75.7% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 15.91% ▲ (+0.09)
Plymouth Argyle 8.39% ▼ (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.13% ▼ (-1.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.84% ▼ (-1.20)
Under 2.5 42.15% ▲ (+1.20)
Over 3.5 35.44% ▼ (-1.21)
Under 3.5 64.56% ▲ (+1.21)
Over 4.5 18.6% ▼ (-0.92)
Under 4.5 81.4% ▲ (+0.92)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 90.56% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 0.5 9.44% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 1.5 68.29% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 1.5 31.71% ▲ (+0.63)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 47.62% ▼ (-1.32)
Under 0.5 52.37% ▲ (+1.33)
Over 1.5 13.75% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 1.5 86.25% ▲ (+0.88)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 75.69%
Draw 15.91%
Plymouth Argyle 8.39%
Middlesbrough
2-0 @ 13.77% ▲ (+0.42)
1-0 @ 11.66% ▲ (+0.49)
3-0 @ 10.83% ▲ (+0.19)
2-1 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.14)
5-0 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.14)
5-1 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.10)
6-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 75.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 15.91%
Plymouth Argyle
0-1 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 8.39%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 22
Plymouth
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
Middlesbrough
  • Lewis Gibson 38' goal
  • Darko Gyabi 72' goal
  • Nathanael Ogbeta 77' yellowcard
  • Mustapha Bundu 81' goal
  • Darko Gyabi 87' yellowcard
  • goal Jonny Howson 50'
  • yellowcard George Edmundson 70'
  • goal Hayden Hackney 77'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 84'
  • yellowcard Ben Doak 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 34
Middlesbrough
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 3
FT Riverside Stadium
Plymouth
  • Luke Ayling 37' yellowcard
  • goal Matthew Sorinola 7'
  • goal Matthew Sorinola 7'
  • yellowcard Mickel Miller 26'
  • goal Ryan Hardie 31'
Championship Gameweek 15
Plymouth
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT Home Park
Middlesbrough
  • Bali Mumba 34' goal
  • Finn Azaz 38' goal
  • Mickel Miller 70' yellowcard
  • Luke Cundle 72' yellowcard
  • Morgan Whittaker 77' goal
  • goal Josh Coburn 23'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 30'
  • goal Josh Coburn 60'
  • yellowcard Josh Coburn 62'
  • goal Sam Greenwood 64'
  • yellowcard Rav van den Berg 66'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Plymouth
Jul 23, 2021 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Middlesbrough
  • Macaulay Gillesphey 55' goal
  • goal Matt Crooks 15'
  • goal Marcus Tavernier 68'
Championship
Plymouth
Apr 5, 2010 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Middlesbrough
  • Karl Duguid 75' yellowcard
  • goal Stephen McManus 22'
  • yellowcard Leroy Lita 41'
  • yellowcard Justin Hoyte 42'
  • yellowcard Barry Robson 75'
  • yellowcard Rhys Williams 85'
Championship
Middlesbrough
Oct 31, 2009 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Plymouth
  • goal Jamie Mackie 64'
  • yellowcard Carl Fletcher 80'

Form Data

Millwall 1 - 0 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Leeds
Blackburn 0 - 2 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Oxford Utd
Luton 0 - 0 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 QPR
Plymouth 2 - 1 Sheff Utd
Swansea 3 - 0 Plymouth
Plymouth 2 - 1 Norwich
Watford 0 - 0 Plymouth
Plymouth 2 - 3 Derby
Portsmouth 1 - 2 Plymouth