Championship

Championship | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Plymouth

Azaz (12'), Conway (90+3' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bundu (17')
Pleguezuelo (45+2'), Hazard (52')
Edwards (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 75.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
75.7% ( 0.14)	15.91% ( 0.09)	8.39% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 43.13% (

-1.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.84% (

-1.19)

42.15% (

1.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.44% (

-1.21)

64.56% (

1.21)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.56% (

-0.26)

9.44% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.29% (

-0.62)

31.71% (

0.63)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.62% (

-1.32)

52.37% (

1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.75% (

-0.87)

86.25% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 75.69%

Plymouth Argyle 8.39%

Draw 15.91%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.48) 3-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 75.69%	1-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.54% Total : 15.91%	0-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 8.39%