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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Plymouth

Azaz (12'), Conway (90+3' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bundu (17')
Pleguezuelo (45+2'), Hazard (52')
Edwards (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 3-1 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth's away day troubles are there for all to see, with just one win on the road all season, and despite entering the fixture high on momentum following last week's crucial win, this will be another difficult assignment. Given the opposition in front of them, Boro simply cannot drop any points in this one, with the race for the playoffs threatening to get away from them, but Carrick's men should have the quality to claim victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 75.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawPlymouth Argyle
75.7% (0.14100000000001 0.14) 15.91% (0.086 0.09) 8.39% (-0.224 -0.22)
Both teams to score 43.13% (-1.325 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84% (-1.192 -1.19)42.15% (1.194 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.44% (-1.206 -1.21)64.56% (1.208 1.21)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.56% (-0.261 -0.26)9.44% (0.2651 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.29% (-0.622 -0.62)31.71% (0.626 0.63)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.62% (-1.318 -1.32)52.37% (1.322 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.75% (-0.871 -0.87)86.25% (0.874 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 75.69%
    Plymouth Argyle 8.39%
    Draw 15.91%
MiddlesbroughDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 13.77% (0.41 0.41)
1-0 @ 11.66% (0.48 0.48)
3-0 @ 10.83% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-0 @ 6.39% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.14% (-0.137 -0.14)
5-0 @ 3.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.139 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.95% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.099 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 75.69%
1-1 @ 7.55% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.259 0.26)
2-2 @ 2.88% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 15.91%
0-1 @ 3.2% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 2.44% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 8.39%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Plymouth

Middlesbrough
81.3%
Draw
9.4%
Plymouth Argyle
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Plymouth
3-3
Middlesbrough
Gibson (38'), Gyabi (72'), Bundu (81')
Ogbeta (77'), Gyabi (87')
Howson (50'), Hackney (77'), Latte Lath (84')
Edmundson (70'), Doak (90+6')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Middlesbrough
0-2
Plymouth

Ayling (37')
Sorinola (7'), Hardie (31')
Miller (26')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Plymouth
3-3
Middlesbrough
Mumba (34'), Azaz (38'), Whittaker (77')
Miller (70'), Cundle (72')
Coburn (23', 60'), Greenwood (64')
Crooks (30'), Coburn (62'), van den Berg (66')
Jul 23, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
1-2
Middlesbrough
Crooks (15'), Tavernier (68')
Apr 5, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
0-2
Middlesbrough

Duguid (75')
McManus (22')
Lita (41'), Hoyte (42'), Robson (75'), Williams (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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