Championship Gameweek 45
Middlesbrough
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Norwich
  • Samuel Iling-Junior 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Stacey 45'
  • yellowcard Borja Sainz 90'+3'

Middlesbrough vs Norwich City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
Sheff Weds 2 - 1 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Tommy Conway

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
Millwall 3 - 1 Norwich
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Borja Sainz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Middlesbrough 57.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 22.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Norwich City 20.65% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.44%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.72% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 43.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 34.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 65.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.24% ▲ (+0.02)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 85.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 14.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 56.71% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 43.28% ▲ (+0.04)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5 65.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 57.18%
Draw 22.17%
Norwich City 20.65%
Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 57.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.42% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.17%
Norwich City
1-2 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 20.65%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 12
Norwich
Oct 27, 2024 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 3
FT Carrow Road
Middlesbrough
  • Borja Sainz 8' goal
  • Anis Ben Slimane 59' yellowcard
  • Borja Sainz 71' goal
  • Kellen Fisher 74' yellowcard
  • Timothy Dieng 80' goal
  • Kenny McLean 87' redcard
  • goal Tommy Conway 13'
  • yellowcard Aidan Morris 23'
  • yellowcard George Edmundson 25'
  • goal Tommy Conway 40'
  • goal Finn Azaz 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Riley McGree 70'
Championship Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Norwich
  • Marcus Forss 20' yellowcard
  • Marcus Forss 37' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 43' goal
  • Lukas Engel 62' goal
  • goal Ashley Barnes 17'
  • redcard Borja Sainz 30'
  • yellowcard Kenny McLean 47'
Championship Gameweek 13
Norwich
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
Middlesbrough
  • Gabriel Sara 76' yellowcard
  • Jon Rowe 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jon Rowe 90'+9' goal
  • goal Sam Greenwood 46'
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 89'
  • goal Sam Silvera 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Timothy Dieng 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
Apr 14, 2023 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Norwich
  • Aaron Ramsey 7' goal
  • Hayden Hackney 41' goal
  • Cameron Archer 43' goal
  • Chuba Akpom 49' goal
  • Cameron Archer 45'+6' goal
  • goal Joshua Sargent 45'
Championship Gameweek 21
Norwich
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Carrow Road
Middlesbrough
  • Joshua Sargent 7' goal
  • goal Riley McGree 64'
  • goal Matt Crooks 90'+2'
Championship Gameweek 27
Norwich
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
Middlesbrough
  • Emiliano Buendia 41' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Buendia 67' redcard
  • yellowcard George Saville 73'
  • yellowcard Jonny Howson 90'

Form Data

Sheff Weds 2 - 1 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Plymouth
Millwall 1 - 0 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Leeds
Blackburn 0 - 2 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Oxford Utd
Millwall 3 - 1 Norwich
Norwich 3 - 5 Portsmouth
Burnley 2 - 1 Norwich
Norwich 0 - 0 Sunderland
Plymouth 2 - 1 Norwich
Norwich 1 - 0 West Brom