/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
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Ebou Adams
60'
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Liam Thompson
79'
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Ali Al-Hamadi
29'
Derby County vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result
Derby County
45.34%
▲
(+1.56)
Draw
27.6%
▼
(-0.42)
Stoke City
27.06%
▼
(-1.15)
Both Teams to Score:
46.02%
▲
(+0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.91%
▲
(+0.88)
Under 2.5
59.09%
▼
(-0.88)
Over 3.5
20.46%
▲
(+0.68)
Under 3.5
79.54%
▼
(-0.68)
Over 4.5
8.6%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 4.5
91.4%
▼
(-0.39)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
73.99%
▲
(+1.21)
Under 0.5
26.01%
▼
(-1.21)
Over 1.5
38.96%
▲
(+1.60)
Under 1.5
61.04%
▼
(-1.60)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
62.2%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 0.5
37.8%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 1.5
25.43%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 1.5
74.58%
▲
(+0.46)
Score analysis
Derby County
45.34%
Draw
27.6%
Stoke City
27.06%
Derby County
1-0
@
13.24%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.31)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.20)
3-0 @ 4% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.22)
3-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.14)
4-1 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 45.34%
2-0 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.31)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.20)
3-0 @ 4% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.22)
3-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.14)
4-1 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 45.34%
Draw
1-1
@
12.88%
▼
(-0.14)
0-0 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.33)
2-2 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.6%
0-0 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.33)
2-2 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.6%
Stoke City
0-1
@
9.57%
▼
(-0.45)
1-2 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.28)
1-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 27.06%
1-2 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.28)
1-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 27.06%
