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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 48%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Brentford |
| 27.32% | 24.68% | 48% |
| Both teams to score 54.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.36% | 47.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.16% | 69.84% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% | 31.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.16% | 67.84% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.1% | 19.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.97% | 52.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 7.24% 2-1 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 4.19% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.32% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-2 @ 8.16% 1-3 @ 5.08% 0-3 @ 4.39% 2-3 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 2.05% 0-4 @ 1.77% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.89% Total : 47.99% |