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EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 6, 2020 at 12pm UK
Griffin Park
Wycombe Wanderers

Brentford
1 - 1
Wycombe

Pinnock (32')
FT
(aet)
Horgan (76')
Gape (48')
Brentford win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Marcus Forss scored in the shoot-out to earn a 4-2 win on penalties against the Championship newboys.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 0-1 (5.74%).

Result
BrentfordDrawWycombe Wanderers
57.55%22.5%19.95%
Both teams to score 53.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33%45.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01%67.99%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39%15.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.41%44.59%
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.08%36.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29%73.71%
Score Analysis
    Brentford 57.54%
    Wycombe Wanderers 19.95%
    Draw 22.5%
BrentfordDrawWycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-0 @ 9.94%
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 6.16%
3-1 @ 6.13%
3-2 @ 3.06%
4-0 @ 2.86%
4-1 @ 2.85%
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-0 @ 1.06%
5-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 57.54%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 5.76%
2-2 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.5%
0-1 @ 5.74%
1-2 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.64%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 19.95%

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