Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Nov 14, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade 26 Mars
  • goal Mouhamadou Diarra 83'

Burkina Faso vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 13, 2024 5.00pm
Burundi 0 - 2 Burkina Faso

Senegal

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 15, 2024 2.00pm
Malawi 0 - 1 Senegal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 27.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 1-0 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.

Result

Burkina Faso 27.51% (-0.04)
Draw 28.19% (+0.02)
Senegal 44.29% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.73% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.14% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 60.86% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 19.11% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 80.89% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 7.83% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 92.17% (+0.03)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5 61.6% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 38.4% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 24.84% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 75.15% (+0.07)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 72.62% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 27.37% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 37.16% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.84% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Burkina Faso 27.51%
Draw 28.18%
Senegal 44.29%
Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 10.06% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 27.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 10.51% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.18%
Senegal
0-1 @ 13.61% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.82% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.81% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23%
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 44.29%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 6, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor
  • Sadio Mane 16' goal
  • goal Ousseni Bouda 90'+5'
Africa Cup of Nations
Feb 2, 2022 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adama Guira 28' yellowcard
  • Blati Toure 82' goal
  • yellowcard Bouna Sarr 50'
  • goal Abdou Diallo 70'
  • goal Idrissa Gueye 76'
  • goal Sadio Mane 87'
  • yellowcard Pape Abou Cisse 90'+3'