Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

May 3, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
2 - 2
Werder Bremen

Rothe (37'), Benes (84')
Vogt (62')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Stage (2', 15')
Pieper (45+1'), Stark (45+4'), Schmid (55'), Friedl (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-0 St Pauli
Sunday, April 27 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Werder Bremen
44.59% ( -0.07)	23.66% ( 0.15)	31.75% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 61.27% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.47% (

-0.74)

40.52% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.09% (

-0.76)

62.9% (

0.76)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52% (

-0.32)

18.47% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.32% (

-0.55)

49.67% (

0.55)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.15% (

-0.4)

24.84% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.55% (

-0.56)

59.44% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 44.59%

Werder Bremen 31.75%

Draw 23.65%

Union Berlin	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.56% Total : 44.59%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.65%	1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.75%