Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.