Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Nov 4, 2026 10.30pm
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2026 11.00pm
Vasco 1 - 4 Flamengo
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Pedro

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2026 12.30am
Gremio 2 - 0 Athletico PR
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 72.26%. A draw has a probability of 18.59% and a win for Gremio has a probability of 9.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.95%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.29%) , while for a Gremio win it is 0-1 (3.86%).

Result

Flamengo 72.26% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 18.59% ▼ (-0.09)
Gremio 9.16% ▲ (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.37% ▲ (+1.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.34% ▲ (+1.41)
Under 1.5 25.66% ▼ (-1.41)
Over 2.5 50.98% ▲ (+1.91)
Under 2.5 49.02% ▼ (-1.91)
Over 3.5 28.92% ▲ (+1.60)
Under 3.5 71.08% ▼ (-1.60)
Over 4.5 19.43% ▲ (+1.15)
Under 4.5 80.57% ▼ (-1.16)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 56.48% ▼ (-0.75)
Draw 33.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Gremio 10.27% ▲ (+0.81)

Team To Score First

Flamengo 75.25% ▼ (-0.07)
No Goal 7.07% ▼ (-0.51)
Gremio 17.68% ▲ (+0.58)

Corners

Over 8 62.96% ▲ (+1.93)
Equal 8 10.97% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 26.07% ▼ (-1.90)
Over 9 51.3% ▲ (+1.76)
Equal 9 11.66% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 9 37.04% ▼ (-1.93)
Over 10.5 39.96% ▲ (+1.43)
Under 10.5 60.04% ▼ (-1.43)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 61.36% ▲ (+1.09)
Under 1.5 38.64% ▼ (-1.09)
Over 2.5 34.18% ▲ (+1.00)
Under 2.5 65.82% ▼ (-1.00)
Over 3.5 15.4% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 3.5 84.6% ▼ (-0.79)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 39.31% ▲ (+1.39)
Under 0.5 60.69% ▼ (-1.39)
Over 1.5 11.24% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 1.5 88.76% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 2.5 2.04% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 97.96% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 0.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 99.64% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Flamengo 72.28%
Draw 18.61%
Gremio 9.17%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 14.79% ▼ (-0.78)
2-0 @ 13.95% ▼ (-0.64)
2-1 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.35)
3-0 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 15.39% ▲ (+0.79)
Total : 72.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.51)
2-2 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.30)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.61%
Gremio
0-1 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 9.17%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 15
May 10, 2026 11.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Grêmio
  • Caio Paulista 10' yellowcard
  • Tiaguinho 65' yellowcard
  • José Enamorado 77' yellowcard
  • Martin Braithwaite 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luiz Araújo 64'
  • yellowcard Emerson Royal 65'
  • goal Jorge Carrascal 68'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique  87'
  • yellowcard Nicolás de la Cruz 87'
Brasileiro
Aug 31, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 9.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Edenilson 11' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 4'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 30'
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 67'
  • yellowcard Nicolas de la Cruz 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 22, 2024 10.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Franco Cristaldo 12' goal
  • Martin Braithwaite 55' goal
  • Joao Pedro 80' yellowcard
  • Diego Costa 83' goal
  • goal Matheus Goncalves 25'
  • redcard Carlos Moises de Lima 58'
  • goal Felipe Gabriel Cunha Teresa 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Jun 14, 2024 12.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Pedro 32' yellowcard
  • Pedro 32' yellowcard
  • Tite 33' yellowcard
  • Tite 33' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araujo 42' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 42' goal
  • Wesley 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Wesley 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araujo 67' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 67' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 46'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 46'
  • yellowcard Everton Galdino 55'
  • yellowcard Everton Galdino 55'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 90'+3'
  • goal Edenilson 90'+6'
  • goal Edenilson 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 26, 2023 1.30am
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Walter Kannemann 26' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 26' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 47' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 47' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 76' goal
  • Ferreira 76' goal
  • Pedro Geromel 78' yellowcard
  • Pedro Geromel 78' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ribeiro Fernandes 81' goal
  • Nathan Ribeiro 81' goal
  • Andre Henrique 86' goal
  • Andre Henrique 86' goal
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 24'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 24'
  • goal Everton 42'
  • goal Everton 42'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 64'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 64'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 84'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 84'
  • goal Luiz Araujo 89'
  • goal Luiz Araujo 89'
  • yellowcard Everton Ribeiro 90'
  • yellowcard Everton Ribeiro 90'