Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Flamengo
Jun 1, 2025 10.30pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Fortaleza
  • Alex Sandro 19' yellowcard
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 30' goal
  • Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 48' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 56' goal
  • Michael 71' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 74' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Welison 67'

Flamengo vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
May 25, 2025 8.00pm
Palmeiras 0 - 2 Flamengo
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Giorgian De Arrascaeta

Fortaleza

All competitions
Last game
May 26, 2025 12.30am
Fortaleza 0 - 2 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Juan Martin Lucero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 71.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 9.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.44%) and 3-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result

Flamengo 71.7% ▲ (+1.36)
Draw 18.35% ▼ (-0.31)
Fortaleza 9.96% ▼ (-1.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.57% ▼ (-2.68)

Goals

Over 2.5 52% ▼ (-1.54)
Under 2.5 48% ▲ (+1.55)
Over 3.5 29.83% ▼ (-1.43)
Under 3.5 70.17% ▲ (+1.44)
Over 4.5 14.56% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 4.5 85.44% ▲ (+1.00)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 87.95% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 12.05% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 62.46% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 37.54% ▲ (+0.15)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 47.26% ▼ (-3.01)
Under 0.5 52.74% ▲ (+3.02)
Over 1.5 13.52% ▼ (-2.02)
Under 1.5 86.48% ▲ (+2.02)

Score analysis

Flamengo 71.67%
Draw 18.35%
Fortaleza 9.96%
Flamengo
2-0 @ 14.22% ▲ (+0.82)
1-0 @ 13.44% ▲ (+0.80)
3-0 @ 10.03% ▲ (+0.55)
2-1 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.27)
3-1 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.21)
4-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.28)
4-1 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.12)
5-0 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.27)
5-1 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 71.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.23)
0-0 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.40)
2-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.37)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 18.35%
Fortaleza
0-1 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.10)
1-2 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.34)
0-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 9.96%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Fortaleza
Nov 26, 2024 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Comendador Agostinho Prada
Flamengo
  • Benjamin Kuscevic 12' yellowcard
  • Eros Mancuso 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 24'
  • redcard Erick Pulgar 67'
  • yellowcard Nicolas de la Cruz 79'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Varela 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Flamengo
Jul 12, 2024 12.00am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Fortaleza
  • Pedro 39' goal
  • Pedro 39' goal
  • Allan Rodrigues de Souza 57' yellowcard
  • Allan Rodrigues de Souza 57' yellowcard
  • goal Wesley 11' (OG)
  • goal Wesley 11' (OG)
  • yellowcard Tomas Cardona 38'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cardona 38'
  • goal Juan Martin Lucero 63'
  • goal Juan Martin Lucero 63'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Vojvoda 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Fortaleza
Nov 5, 2023 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Flamengo
  • Imanol Machuca 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Maia 41'
  • goal Pedro 45'
  • yellowcard Filipe Luis 57'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 62'
  • goal Luiz Araujo 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Flamengo
Jul 1, 2023 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Fortaleza
  • Gabriel Barbosa 14' goal
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 64' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Fortaleza
Sep 28, 2022 11.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Flamengo
  • Pedro Rocha 18' goal
  • Pedro Rocha 51' goal
  • Caio Alexandre 90'+4' goal
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 32'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 45'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Flamengo
Jun 5, 2022 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Fortaleza
  • Pablo 43' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 45'+5' goal
  • David Luiz 54' yellowcard
  • Bruno Henrique 62' yellowcard
  • goal Robson 28'
  • yellowcard Ronald 30'
  • yellowcard Juninho Capixaba 50'
  • yellowcard Anthony Landazuri 56'
  • yellowcard Robson 71'
  • goal Hercules 90'+2'

Form Data

Flamengo 1 - 0 Tachira
Palmeiras 0 - 2 Flamengo
Flamengo 4 - 2 Botafogo-PB
Flamengo 0 - 0 Botafogo
Flamengo 2 - 0 LDU Quito
Flamengo 1 - 0 Bahia
Racing 1 - 0 Fortaleza
Fortaleza 0 - 2 Cruzeiro
Fortaleza 1 - 1 Retro
Vasco 3 - 0 Fortaleza
Fortaleza 0 - 0 Atletico Bucaramanga
Fortaleza 5 - 0 Juventude