Brasileiro
Nov 6, 2026 12.30am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Kaio Jorge 45'+2' goal
  • Bruno Rodrigues 69' goal
  • Bruno Rodrigues 70' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Jesus 76' yellowcard
  • Kaio Jorge 86' goal
  • Kauã Moraes 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolás Acevedo 19'
  • goal Cristian Olivera 32'
  • yellowcard Caio Alexandre 69'
  • goal Alejo Veliz 90'+5'

Cruzeiro vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2026 10.30pm
Atletico Mineiro 0 - 1 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2026 12.30am
Bahia 3 - 2 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.48% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.86%) and 2-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%) , while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Cruzeiro 59.08% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 22.48% ▲ (+0.11)
Bahia 18.44% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.95% ▼ (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.32% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 22.68% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 54.06% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 2.5 45.91% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 31.5% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 68.5% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 4.5 19.29% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 80.71% ▲ (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Cruzeiro 46.58% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 36.85% ▼ (-0.22)
Bahia 16.57% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Cruzeiro 66.48% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 5.94% ▲ (+0.07)
Bahia 27.58% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 71.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 18.51% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 59.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 28.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 47.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 52.11% ▲ (+0.04)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 1.5 55.37% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 44.63% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 27.92% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 72.08% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 11.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 88.02% ▲ (+0.05)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 54.93% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 45.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 22.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 77.97% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 6.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 93.35% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 1.59% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.41% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 59.07%
Draw 22.49%
Bahia 18.44%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 11.31% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 10.86% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.09% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 11.84% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 59.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.49%
Bahia
0-1 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 18.44%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 15
May 10, 2026 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Luciano Juba 27' yellowcard
  • Everaldo 34' yellowcard
  • Ademir 46' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Nestor 61' yellowcard
  • Cristian Olivera 72' yellowcard
  • Michel Araújo 72' yellowcard
  • goal Kauã Moraes 41'
  • yellowcard Kaique Kenji 46'
  • yellowcard Kaio Jorge  62'
  • yellowcard Wanderson 72'
  • yellowcard Lucas Villalba 72'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva  78'
  • goal Kaique Kenji 86'
Brasileiro
Sep 16, 2025 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Apr 18, 2025 1.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Lucas Romero 45'+7' goal
  • Lucas Romero 45'+7' goal
  • William 53' yellowcard
  • William 53' yellowcard
  • Kaio Jorge 60' yellowcard
  • Kaio Jorge 60' yellowcard
  • Wanderson 64' yellowcard
  • Wanderson 64' yellowcard
  • Kaio Jorge 65' goal
  • Kaio Jorge 65' goal
  • Kaio Jorge 76' goal
  • Kaio Jorge 76' goal
  • Christian 76' yellowcard
  • Christian 76' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erick 23'
  • yellowcard Erick 23'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 61'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 61'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 19, 2024 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Gabriel Veron 61' goal
  • Matheus Pereira 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Everton Ribeiro 43'
  • yellowcard Luciano 59'
  • goal Luciano Rodriguez 82'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 23, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Thaciano 45'+9' goal
  • Oscar Estupinan 78' goal
  • Gabriel Teixeira 90'+1' goal
  • Oscar Estupinan 90'+6' goal
  • goal Gabriel Veron 14'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Veron 48'
  • redcard Marlon 70'
  • yellowcard Ramiro 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 26, 2023 12.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Kanu 19' goal
  • Kanu 19' goal
  • Lucas Silva 27' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 27' yellowcard
  • Marlon 53' goal
  • Marlon 53' goal
  • Machado 75' yellowcard
  • Machado 75' yellowcard
  • Bruno Rodrigues 88' goal
  • Bruno Rodrigues 88' goal
  • yellowcard Camilo Candido 63'
  • yellowcard Camilo Candido 63'
  • yellowcard Cauly Oliveira Souza 90'
  • yellowcard Cauly Oliveira Souza 90'